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Can tall players ever dominate tennis?
Athletes in general are getting bigger, stronger, and faster, and the
world of men's tennis is no exception. Today's young tennis athletes are
towering over their elders, with rocket serves and an increased mobility
that belies their size.
Canada's best tennis player, Milos Raonic (ranked 25th), is only 21 and
6'5". Australia's young 19-year-old sensation Bernard Tomic (ranked 38th)
is 6'5". Both are considered likely to contend for Grand Slams in the
future. American John Isner, 26, at 6'9" and ranked 17th, is likely to be
the top-ranked American within the next year or two.
Back in 1981, only three of the top-ranked men were over six feet tall.
Ten years later, there was only one man (Andre Agassi) was was under six
feet tall. In January of 2012, there are two men ranked in the top ten who
are under six feet tall, 5'9" David Ferrer and 5'11" Janko Tipsarevic.
Top-ranked Novak Djokovic and third-ranked Andy Murray are 6'3", while
Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer are both 6'1".
Can really tall players (6'5" or taller) win Grand Slams consistently in
tennis? Fifth-ranked Tomas Berdych is 6'5". Juan Martin Del Potro, 23,
11th-ranked, is 6'6" and won the U.S. Open in 2009. Del Potro is the only
player above 6'5" to win a Grand Slam (6'4" Goran Ivanisevic won Wimbeldon
in 2001).
When I watch these super-tall players that are coming up, I can't help but
think how gangly and slow they look on the court next to guys like
Djokovic and Nadal. That may be a function of age for Tomic and Raonic,
but Isner is fully grown and has been on the Tour for years now. The
serving power of these giants is unquestioned, and most certainly when
they win a major reason is because of their serve. However, today's tennis
game is primarily a baseline one, with agility, speed, and accurate
strokes at its core.
Until one of these giant players accumulates the skill and heart of a
Roger Federer or Rafael Nadal, they will rarely, if ever, beat them. I
can't help but wonder if future champions will remain at a height of 6'3"
or shorter simply because of the agility and speed required. With the
power of today's player being able to direct fast-moving balls to the
tiniest corners of the court, a successful player has to be able to stop
on a dime and change direction quickly. The big guys have problems with
that, which is why the (relatively) shorter athlete will dominate its
taller counterpart nine times out of ten. |